Taiwan Strait Time!
The Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz crisis served for China as a practical test in the use of strategic chokepoints, demonstrating that disruption to vital global trade routes can impose heavy costs on rivals without direct warfare. This experience is likely to push Beijing toward reinforcing a strategy of encirclement and gradual control over Taiwan—an approach in which the world’s dependence on Taiwan’s semiconductor industry becomes a geoeconomic leverage point. Consequently, the Taiwan conflict may shift from a deterrence model based on military power toward one grounded in control over supply chains and critical global economic chokepoints.
