Initiation Of Ukraine Offensive In Southern Front; Will A Russian Chemical Attack Occur?

Monday 12 June 2023 - 20:32

ISWNews Analysis Group – In the wake of the Ukrainian army’s military operations against Russian army positions in the Donetsk and Zaporozhye oblasts, several villages on the southern outskirts of Velyka Novosilka were captured by Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Donetsk Front:
As a result of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ counter-attack on the southern fronts, the Russian armed forces were forced to retreat from several villages on the southern outskirts of Velyka Novosilka settlement. According to field sources, the villages of Neskuchne, Storozheve and Blahodatne have been captured by Ukrainian forces and fighting is currently underway in Makarivka village.

In the axis of Rivnopil and Novodarivka villages, Ukrainian attacks were also repelled by the Russian forces. The main reason for the failure of Ukrainian attacks in these areas was the creation of minefields and the success of Russian artillery attacks in targeting Ukrainian armored vehicles.

The main goal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in starting an attack on this front is not clear and it seems that this raid was complementary to the main direction of operations at another point and was carried out with the aim of putting pressure on the Russians.

Zaporozhye Front:
On June 8, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched heavy attacks against the Russian army from the south of Orikhiv, Stepove, and several other areas. However, most of the strikes were repelled by the Russian armed forces. In this regard, numerous videos have been published showing the destruction of Leopard 2 tanks and armored vehicles donated by Western countries to Ukraine.

At present, the Russian military forces have been successful to repel all attacks by the Ukrainians on the mentioned axis and merely the Lubkuk area is still in dispute.

Read more: Russian Army Slaughter Leopard 2 Tanks, Bradley IFVs In Zaporozhye Region (Video)

Kherson Front:
After the destruction of the Nova Kakhovka Dam on June 6, most of the villages and towns near the Dnieper River were flooded. The move led to numerous speculations about a Ukrainian counter-attack to destroy Russian defense lines in the eastern regions of the Dnieper River and also about Russia’s attempt to turn the Ukrainians’ attack into a failure.  The nature of such an action has not yet been determined and all these possibilities are noteworthy in accordance with the reasonings.

Currently, clashes on the Kherson front have been limited to exchanges of airstrikes and artillery fire. However, the extent of Ukrainian fire against Russian defensive positions intensified in recent days and it is likely that it increases further with the gradual decrease of water in that area.

Rafael Grossi, Director-General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), announced on June 12 that he intends to visit the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant after holding a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky with the aim of assessing the situation of the power plant.

Grossi previously said in an interview with some media outlets about the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam that the Zaporozhye nuclear facilities, which is Europe’s largest nuclear power plant, rely on the Kakhovka Dam reservoir to cool its six reactors and this issue has become a serious problem following the recent decrease in water level of the dam. Given this condition, it is likely that the operation of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant will face restrictions or complete shutdown.

Despite declarations by Ukrainian media outlets and officials on the start of large-scale operations by the Ukrainian Armed Forces to retake areas under the control of the Russian military forces, it seems that Ukraine’s main attack has not yet begun and we would witness more intense fighting in the coming months.

The Ukrainian intelligence agency has recently warned that Russia intends to release 200 tons of ammonia gas into Ukraine using a Crimean Titan chemical plant!

If this act is carried out like the destruction of Kakhovka Dam (regardless of who is responsible), it will have a significant impact on Ukraine’s clashes and we will enter a new phase of recent wars that happened in the world.

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