Monday 25 August 2025 - 08:44
Gradual Fragmentation of Syria: Examining the Most Likely Governance Scenario for Syria’s Future
This analysis outlines the “mini-state governance model” as the most probable scenario for Syria’s future. In this model, the state remains legally unified, but in practice, powerful local entities dominate specific regions, effectively holding real power. The central government is compelled to cooperate with these influential local forces. Although this scenario has received limited public attention, it aligns more closely with Syria’s historical context and social fabric.
